In reply to @Richvn

@Richvn @jjaron @TimHarford @FullFact oh but of course someone else did the same calculation quicker! I suppose I'll show my working:

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In reply to @christianp

@Richvn @jjaron @TimHarford @FullFact I've done a simply terrible bit of modelling: p(join party) increases with age, what params describe the data we've seen:

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In reply to @christianp

@Richvn @jjaron @TimHarford @FullFact guys, I'm having a mare. Here's the pic I meant to include

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